Odds
Player analysis
I. Buse comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.3, meaning I. Buse has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving I. Buse vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Berrettini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 4 Mar | Hijikata | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 2 Mar | Draxl | 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 24 Feb | Tirante | 2-6 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 22 Feb | Tabilo | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 20 Feb | Fonseca | 7-5 3-6 4-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Mar | Zverev | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Mannarino | 4-6 7-5 7-5 | W |
| 24 Feb | Nava | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 20 Feb | Buse | 6-3 2-6 6-3 | L |
| 20 Feb | Lajovic | 3-6 6-4 6-2 | W |

