Rio de JaneiroClayQuarter-finals20 Feb 2026 · 23:50
I. Buse
#63 · Peru
VS
M. Berrettini
#68 · Italy
BUSE
2.91
·
BERRETTINI
1.47

Odds

Market
Buse
Berrettini
Winner
2.91
1.47
Total
line 18.5
1.16
Over 18.5
5.5
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.5
1.33
Over 19.5
2.93
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
2.27
-2.0 games
1.68
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.09
-2.5 games
1.8
+2.5 games

Player analysis

I. Buse comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.3, meaning I. Buse has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving I. Buse vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

DS -2.34Trend mixed

M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Berrettini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS -4Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

4 MarHijikata6-3 3-6 4-6L
2 MarDraxl6-4 7-6W
24 FebTirante2-6 7-6 7-6L
22 FebTabilo6-3 6-3L
20 FebFonseca7-5 3-6 4-6W
Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

6 MarZverev3-6 4-6L
5 MarMannarino4-6 7-5 7-5W
24 FebNava6-3 6-4L
20 FebBuse6-3 2-6 6-3L
20 FebLajovic3-6 6-4 6-2W

Clay court stats

Buse
Stat
Berrettini
63.2%
Win rate
68.5%
120–70
W–L
98–45

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces8
Double faults5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults2