M. Berrettini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

A. Mannarino comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.9, meaning A. Mannarino has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving A. Mannarino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Mannarino has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.