ATP Indian WellsHardFinal4 Mar 2026 · 01:45
I. Buse
#63 · Peru
VS
R. Hijikata
#98 · Australia
BUSE
1.72
·
HIJIKATA
2.18

Odds

Market
Buse
Hijikata
Winner
1.72
2.18
Total
line 20.0
1.38
Over 20.0
2.62
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.48
Over 20.5
2.33
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
2.78
-4.0 games
1.36
+4 games
Handicap
games
2.34
-3.5 games
1.5
+3.5 games

Player analysis

I. Buse comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.3, meaning I. Buse has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving I. Buse vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

DS -2.34Trend mixed

R. Hijikata shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 45. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.8 to 7.6, with at least one match where R. Hijikata was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving R. Hijikata vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Hijikata has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS 1.1Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

4 MarHijikata6-3 3-6 4-6L
2 MarDraxl6-4 7-6W
24 FebTirante2-6 7-6 7-6L
22 FebTabilo6-3 6-3L
20 FebFonseca7-5 3-6 4-6W
Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

11 MarNorrie4-6 2-6L
9 MarBublik7-6 6-7 3-6W
8 MarDarderi4-6 6-2 6-4W
6 MarMaestrelli6-7 4-6W
4 MarBuse6-3 3-6 4-6W

Hard court stats

Buse
Stat
Hijikata
53.8%
Win rate
61.5%
21–18
W–L
187–117

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces8
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults3