Odds
Player analysis
A. Muller comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -10.9, meaning A. Muller has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Muller vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Muller has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -42 over recent matches.
M. Berrettini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.0, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 7 Feb | Molcan | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 Jan | Zverev | 6-3 4-6 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 19 Jan | Popyrin | 6-2 3-6 6-3 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 13 Jan | Giron | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 8 Jan | Giron | 4-6 6-7 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Mar | Zverev | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Mannarino | 4-6 7-5 7-5 | W |
| 24 Feb | Nava | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 20 Feb | Lajovic | 3-6 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 20 Feb | Buse | 6-3 2-6 6-3 | L |

