ATP Indian WellsHard1/32-finals6 Mar 2026 · 20:15
M. Berrettini
#68 · Italy
VS
A. Zverev
#4 · Germany
BERRETTINI
4.38
·
ZVEREV
1.25

Odds

Market
Berrettini
Zverev
Winner
4.38
1.25

Player analysis

M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Berrettini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS -4Trend up

A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 30. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 5.02Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWWWWL

4W 1L last 5

14 MarZverev2-6 4-6W
12 MarFils2-6 3-6W
10 MarTiafoe3-6 4-6W
8 MarNakashima6-7 7-5 4-6W
6 MarZverev3-6 4-6L
Recent form bar chartWLLLL

1W 4L last 5

6 MarBerrettini3-6 4-6W
5 MarBerrettini4-6 7-5 7-5L
24 FebNava6-3 6-4L
20 FebBerrettini3-6 6-4 6-2L
20 FebBuse6-3 2-6 6-3L

Hard court stats

Berrettini
Stat
Zverev
58.8%
Win rate
66.9%
150–105
W–L
341–169

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces9
Double faults2

Head to head

22
Hard 02
Clay 10
Grass 10
M. Berrettini vs A. Zverev head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP Indian WellsHard1/32-finalsZverev3-6 4-6
Monte CarloClay1/16-finalsBerrettini6-2 3-6 5-7
ATP WimbledonGrass1/16-finalsBerrettini3-6 6-7 6-7
ShanghaiHardSemi-finalsZverev3-6 4-6