M. Berrettini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

A. Zverev comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 29 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Zverev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.