MiamiHardATP 1/32-finals20 Mar 2026 · 23:25
A. Bublik
#11 · Kazakhstan
VS
M. Berrettini
#68 · Italy
BUBLIK
1.629
·
BERRETTINI
2.41

Odds

Market
Bublik
Berrettini
Winner
1.629
2.41
Total
line 24.5
1.97
Over 24.5
1.84
Under 24.5
Total
line 22.5
1.592
Over 22.5
2.44
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
1.91
-2.5 games
1.8
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
2.7
-3.5 games
1.41
+3.5 games

Player analysis

A. Bublik comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.6 to 10.9, with at least one match where A. Bublik was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 0.15Trend mixed

M. Berrettini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.0, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS -0.98Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Bublik
Stat
Berrettini
56.1%
Win rate
58.8%
215–168
W–L
150–105

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces12
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces10
Double faults2

Head to head

10
Grass 10
A. Bublik vs M. Berrettini head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
AntalyaGrassQuarter-finalsBublik6-7 4-6