Odds
Player analysis
I. Buse shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.9 to 27.3, with at least one match where I. Buse was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving I. Buse vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
M. Echargui comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -13.2, meaning M. Echargui has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving M. Echargui vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Echargui has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 4 Mar | Hijikata | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 2 Mar | Draxl | 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 24 Feb | Tirante | 2-6 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 22 Feb | Tabilo | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 20 Feb | Berrettini | 6-3 2-6 6-3 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 10 Mar | Andrade | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 9 Mar | Puello | 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 3 Mar | Burruchaga | 7-6 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 23 Feb | Perricard | 6-7 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 17 Feb | Tsitsipas | 4-6 4-6 | L |

