MiamiHard1/16-finals23 Mar 2026 · 01:00
M. Berrettini
#105 · Italy
VS
V. Vacherot
#19 · Monaco
BERRETTINI
1.76
·
VACHEROT
2.19

Odds

Market
Berrettini
Vacherot
Winner
1.76
2.19
Total
line 18.5
1.16
Over 18.5
4.1
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.19
Over 19.0
3.78
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
7.5
-6.5 games
1.06
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
7.1
-6.0 games
1.07
+6 games

Player analysis

M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Berrettini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -0.65Trend mixed

V. Vacherot has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.3 to 4.5, with at least one match where V. Vacherot was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving V. Vacherot vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.

DS 0.52Trend up

Recent form

Hard court stats

Berrettini
Stat
Vacherot
58.8%
Win rate
66.5%
153–107
W–L
107–54

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces7
Double faults3