A. Sabalenka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Sabalenka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

C. Gauff comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 25 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.0 to 18.9, with at least one match where C. Gauff was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.