SABALENKA
1.405
·
GAUFF
3.15
Odds
Market
Sabalenka
Gauff
Change
Winner
1.405
3.15
—
Total
line 20.5
1.69
Over 20.5
2.23
Under 20.5
—
Total
line 21.5
1.93
Over 21.5
1.95
Under 21.5
—
Handicap
games
1.55
-2.5 games
2.25
+2.5 games
—
Handicap
games
1.91
-3.5 games
1.8
+3.5 games
—
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-36 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS 10.45Trend down
C. Gauff arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-42 opposition. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.1 to 20.7, with at least one match where C. Gauff was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS 8.29Trend mixed
Recent form
5W 0L last 5
| 27 Mar | Rybakina | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 26 Mar | Baptiste | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 23 Mar | McNally | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 23 Mar | Zheng | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 21 Mar | Li | 7-6 6-4 | W |
5W 0L last 5
| 26 Mar | Muchova | 6-1 6-1 | W |
| 25 Mar | Bencic | 3-6 6-1 3-6 | W |
| 23 Mar | Cirstea | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 22 Mar | Parks | 6-3 0-6 1-6 | W |
| 20 Mar | Cocciaretto | 6-3 4-6 3-6 | W |
Hard court stats
SabalenkaStatGauff
72.8%Win rate70.4%
302–113W–L176–74
Avg stats — last 5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults1
Head to head
5–5
Indoor 1–1
Clay 1–1
Hard 3–3
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Sabalenka | 7-6 6-2 | ||
| French Open | Clay | Final | Gauff | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | |
| Madrid | Clay | Final | Sabalenka | 6-3 7-6 | |
| WTA Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Semi-finals | Gauff | 6-7 3-6 | |
| WTA Wuhan | Hard | Semi-finals | Sabalenka | 1-6 6-4 6-4 | |
| WTA Australian Open | Hard | Semi-finals | Sabalenka | 6-7 4-6 | |
| WTA US Open | Hard | Final | Gauff | 2-6 6-3 6-2 | |
| WTA Indian Wells | Hard | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 4-6 | |
| Toronto | Hard | 1/8-finals | Gauff | 5-7 6-4 6-7 | |
| Lexington | Hard | 1/8-finals | Gauff | 7-6 4-6 6-4 |