MiamiHard23 Mar 2026 · 20:00
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
Q. Zheng
#26 · China

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Zheng
Change
Winner
Total
line 18.5
1.83
Over 18.5
1.83
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
2
-6.5 games
1.73
+6.5 games

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-27 opposition. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 6.53Trend mixed

Q. Zheng has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.9 to 16.8, with at least one match where Q. Zheng was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving Q. Zheng vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.08Trend up

Recent form

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Zheng
72.8%
Win rate
69.1%
302–113
W–L
130–58

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces7
Double faults3
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces7
Double faults5

Head to head

71
Clay 11
Hard 50
Indoor 10
A. Sabalenka vs Q. Zheng head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
French OpenClayQuarter-finalsSabalenka7-6 6-3
RomeClayQuarter-finalsZheng4-6 3-6
MiamiHardQuarter-finalsSabalenka6-2 7-5
WTA Finals - RiyadhIndoorSabalenka6-3 6-4
WTA WuhanHardFinalSabalenka6-3 5-7 6-3
WTA US OpenHardQuarter-finalsSabalenka1-6 2-6
WTA Australian OpenHardFinalSabalenka3-6 2-6
WTA US OpenHardQuarter-finalsSabalenka1-6 4-6