Odds
Market
Sabalenka
Zheng
Change
Winner
—
—
—
Total
line 18.5
1.83
Over 18.5
1.83
Under 18.5
—
Handicap
games
2
-6.5 games
1.73
+6.5 games
—
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-27 opposition. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS 6.53Trend mixed
Q. Zheng has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.9 to 16.8, with at least one match where Q. Zheng was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving Q. Zheng vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS 3.08Trend up
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 22 Mar | Zheng | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 21 Mar | Zheng | 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 8 Mar | Ruzic | 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 11 Feb | Zheng | 6-4 2-6 5-7 | W |
| 10 Feb | Parks | 6-7 6-3 2-6 | W |
Hard court stats
SabalenkaStatZheng
72.8%Win rate69.1%
302–113W–L130–58
Avg stats — last 5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces7
Double faults3
Head to head
7–1
Clay 1–1
Hard 5–0
Indoor 1–0
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| French Open | Clay | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 7-6 6-3 | |
| Rome | Clay | Quarter-finals | Zheng | 4-6 3-6 | |
| Miami | Hard | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 6-2 7-5 | |
| WTA Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Sabalenka | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| WTA Wuhan | Hard | Final | Sabalenka | 6-3 5-7 6-3 | |
| WTA US Open | Hard | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 1-6 2-6 | |
| WTA Australian Open | Hard | Final | Sabalenka | 3-6 2-6 | |
| WTA US Open | Hard | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 1-6 4-6 |

