MiamiHardWTA 1/16-finals23 Mar 2026 · 00:00
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
C. McNally
#72 · USA
SABALENKA
1.055
1.056
·
MCNALLY
8.97

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
McNally
Change
Winner
1.055
8.97
+-0.01
Total
line 17.5
1.95
Over 17.5
1.85
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.5
2.14
Over 18.5
1.7
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
1.474
-5.5 games
2.82
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
1.73
-6.5 games
2
+6.5 games

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-15 opposition. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 6.11Trend mixed

C. McNally has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.9 to 8.6, with at least one match where C. McNally was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. McNally vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.71Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
McNally
72.8%
Win rate
55.9%
302–113
W–L
100–79

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults3