SABALENKA
1.833
·
RYBAKINA
2.07
Odds
Market
Sabalenka
Rybakina
Change
Winner
1.833
2.07
—
Total
line 23.5
2
Over 23.5
1.73
Under 23.5
—
Total
line 22.5
1.79
Over 22.5
2.04
Under 22.5
—
Handicap
games
2.45
-3.5 games
1.54
+3.5 games
—
Handicap
games
1.85
-2.0 games
1.91
+2 games
—
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-36 opposition. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.9. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS 6.9Trend down
E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 35. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.0 to 21.3, with at least one match where E. Rybakina was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.
DS 9.28Trend mixed
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 25 Mar | Rybakina | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 24 Mar | Rybakina | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Rybakina | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 21 Mar | Rybakina | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 15 Mar | Rybakina | 3-6 6-3 7-6 | W |
Hard court stats
SabalenkaStatRybakina
72.8%Win rate68.8%
302–113W–L207–94
Avg stats — last 5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces9
Double faults2
Head to head
4–5
Hard 2–3
Indoor 0–2
Clay 2–0
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Indian Wells | Hard | Final | Sabalenka | 3-6 6-3 7-6 | |
| WTA Australian Open | Hard | Australian Open - Final | Rybakina | 4-6 6-4 4-6 | |
| Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Final | Rybakina | 3-6 6-7 | |
| Wuhan | Hard | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 6-3 6-3 | |
| Cincinnati | Hard | Quarter-finals | Rybakina | 1-6 4-6 | |
| Berlin | Clay | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 7-6 3-6 7-6 | |
| WTA Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Rybakina | 4-6 6-3 1-6 | ||
| WTA Madrid | Clay | Semi-finals | Sabalenka | 6-1 5-7 6-7 | |
| WTA Brisbane | Hard | Final | Rybakina | 0-6 3-6 |

