MiamiHard23 Mar 2026 · 16:00
S. Cirstea
#35 · Romania
VS
C. Gauff
#4 · USA

Odds

Market
Cirstea
Gauff
Change
Winner
Total
line 21.5
1.91
Over 21.5
1.97
Under 21.5
Total
line 20.5
1.65
Over 20.5
2.11
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.87
+3.5 games
2.02
-3.5 games
Handicap
games
2.04
+2.5 games
1.71
-2.5 games

Player analysis

S. Cirstea comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 25 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving S. Cirstea vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+27) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 5.78Trend mixed

C. Gauff shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 53. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.1 to 25.0, with at least one match where C. Gauff was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.44Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Cirstea
Stat
Gauff
52.1%
Win rate
70.4%
264–243
W–L
176–74

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults10