MiamiHardWTA Quarter-finals26 Mar 2026 · 00:10
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
H. Baptiste
#26 · USA
SABALENKA
1.09
·
BAPTISTE
9.92

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Baptiste
Winner
1.09
9.92
Total
line 15.5
1.05
Over 15.5
6.4
Under 15.5
Total
line 16.0
1.07
Over 16.0
5.9
Under 16.0
Handicap
games
12.7
-9.5 games
1
+9.5 games
Handicap
games
12.5
-9.0 games
1
+9 games

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Sabalenka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS 7.26Trend mixed

H. Baptiste has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.0, meaning H. Baptiste has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -4.96Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Baptiste
73.7%
Win rate
52.8%
320–114
W–L
102–91

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults5

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Hard 10
A. Sabalenka vs H. Baptiste head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MiamiHardWTA Quarter-finalsSabalenka6-4 6-4