Odds
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Sabalenka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
H. Baptiste has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.0, meaning H. Baptiste has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
5W 0L last 5
| 27 Apr | Osaka | 6-7 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 25 Apr | Cristian | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 23 Apr | Stearns | 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 28 Mar | Gauff | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | W |
| 27 Mar | Rybakina | 6-4 6-3 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 27 Apr | Bencic | 1-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 25 Apr | Paolini | 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 23 Apr | Quevedo | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 16 Apr | Shymanovich | 3-6 7-5 3-6 | L |
| 14 Apr | Ponchet | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

