French OpenClayFinal7 Jun 2025 · 15:30
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
C. Gauff
#4 · USA
SABALENKA
1.42
·
GAUFF
3.1

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Gauff
Winner
1.42
3.1
Total
line 16.5
1.05
Over 16.5
7.16
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.5
1.19
Over 17.5
4.67
Under 17.5
Handicap
games
9.35
-8.5 games
1.01
+8.5 games
Handicap
games
11.5
-7.5 games
1.03
+7.5 games

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-9 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS 10.57Trend up

C. Gauff shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 31. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

DS 7.64Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWWWWW

5W 0L last 5

15 MarRybakina3-6 6-3 7-6W
14 MarNoskova6-3 6-4W
12 MarMboko7-6 6-4W
10 MarOsaka6-2 6-4W
8 MarCristian6-4 6-1W
Recent form bar chartWLWWW

4W 1L last 5

6 MarRakhimova6-3 7-6W
20 FebSvitolina6-4 6-7 6-4L
19 FebEala6-0 6-2W
18 FebMertens2-6 7-6 6-3W
17 FebKalinskaya6-4 6-4W

Clay court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Gauff
69.5%
Win rate
75%
91–40
W–L
78–26

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults11

Head to head

55
Indoor 11
Clay 11
Hard 33
A. Sabalenka vs C. Gauff head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Finals - RiyadhIndoorSabalenka7-6 6-2
French OpenClayFinalGauff7-6 2-6 4-6
MadridClayFinalSabalenka6-3 7-6
WTA Finals - RiyadhIndoorSemi-finalsGauff6-7 3-6
WTA WuhanHardSemi-finalsSabalenka1-6 6-4 6-4
WTA Australian OpenHardSemi-finalsSabalenka6-7 4-6
WTA US OpenHardFinalGauff2-6 6-3 6-2
WTA Indian WellsHardQuarter-finalsSabalenka4-6
TorontoHard1/8-finalsGauff5-7 6-4 6-7
LexingtonHard1/8-finalsGauff7-6 4-6 6-4