MiamiHard1/16-finals22 Mar 2026 · 20:40
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
VS
M. Kostyuk
#15 · Ukraine
RYBAKINA
1.24
·
KOSTYUK
4.61

Odds

Market
Rybakina
Kostyuk
Winner
1.24
4.61
Total
line 16.5
1.08
Over 16.5
5.45
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.11
Over 17.0
4.85
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
10
-8.5 games
1.02
+8.5 games
Handicap
games
18.6
-8.0 games
1.04
+8 games

Player analysis

E. Rybakina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.4 to 25.6, with at least one match where E. Rybakina was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 8.18Trend mixed

M. Kostyuk arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-49 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Kostyuk vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 12.11Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Rybakina
Stat
Kostyuk
68.8%
Win rate
63.6%
207–94
W–L
154–88

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults5

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

31
Hard 21
Clay 10
E. Rybakina vs M. Kostyuk head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Indian WellsHard1/16-finalsRybakina4-6 4-6
WTA StuttgartClayFinalRybakina6-2 6-2
WTA US OpenHard1/64-finalsRybakina6-2 6-1
Adelaide 2Hard1/8-finalsKostyuk6-7 6-2 6-3