E. Rybakina comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.

M. Kostyuk comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.6 with a downward trend. M. Kostyuk is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Kostyuk vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Kostyuk has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.