E. Rybakina comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.

Y. Putintseva comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning Y. Putintseva has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving Y. Putintseva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.