Odds
Player analysis
A. De Minaur shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 49. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+25) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
H. Hurkacz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.6 to 8.6, with at least one match where H. Hurkacz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving H. Hurkacz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 22 May | Paul | 6-2 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 21 May | Darderi | 0-6 3-6 | W |
| 20 May | Fokina | 2-6 6-4 4-6 | W |
| 18 May | Cerundolo | 6-3 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 8 May | Arnaldi | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 6 May | Hanfmann | 7-6 6-7 2-6 | L |
| 3 May | Arnaldi | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 2 May | Burruchaga | 4-6 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 1 May | Berrettini | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 30 Apr | Nava | 4-6 1-6 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATP United Cup | Hard | Minaur | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | ||
| ATP Indian Wells | Hard | Indian Wells - 1/16-finals | Minaur | 4-6 0-6 |

