M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Berrettini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

H. Hurkacz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.6 to 8.6, with at least one match where H. Hurkacz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving H. Hurkacz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.