Odds
Player analysis
H. Hurkacz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.6 to 8.6, with at least one match where H. Hurkacz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving H. Hurkacz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
R. A. Burruchaga comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.8, meaning R. A. Burruchaga has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving R. A. Burruchaga vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 1 May | Berrettini | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 30 Apr | Nava | 4-6 1-6 | W |
| 28 Apr | Svajda | 2-6 6-7 | W |
| 24 Apr | Musetti | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 22 Apr | Faria | 3-6 3-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 1 May | Giron | 6-3 2-6 7-6 | W |
| 30 Apr | Pellegrino | 6-4 4-6 7-5 | W |
| 5 Apr | Paul | 1-6 6-3 5-7 | L |
| 4 Apr | Tirante | 1-6 1-6 | W |
| 3 Apr | Tien | 5-7 4-6 | W |

