HamburgClayATP Quarter-finals21 May 2026 · 20:20
L. Darderi
#17 · Italy
VS
A. De Minaur
#7 · Australia
DARDERI
2.06
·
MINAUR
1.85

Odds

Market
Darderi
Minaur
Winner
2.06
1.85
Total
line 20.0
1.35
Over 20.0
2.79
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.43
Over 20.5
2.54
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.67
-2.0 games
2.11
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.76
-2.5 games
2.13
+2.5 games

Player analysis

L. Darderi has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning L. Darderi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving L. Darderi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Darderi has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.

DS -4.25Trend down

A. De Minaur shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 49. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+25) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 7.11Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Darderi
Stat
Minaur
64.7%
Win rate
54.2%
180–98
W–L
65–55

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults3