CagliariClayFinal3 May 2026 · 15:15
H. Hurkacz
#99 · Poland
VS
M. Arnaldi
#104 · Italy
HURKACZ
1.36
·
ARNALDI
3.36

Odds

Market
Hurkacz
Arnaldi
Winner
1.36
3.36
Total
line 20.0
1.37
Over 20.0
2.66
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.48
Over 20.5
2.33
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
5.3
-6.0 games
1.11
+6 games
Handicap
games
3.56
-5.5 games
1.24
+5.5 games

Player analysis

H. Hurkacz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.6 to 8.6, with at least one match where H. Hurkacz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving H. Hurkacz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

DS 0.2Trend up

M. Arnaldi shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 41. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.3 to 10.6, with at least one match where M. Arnaldi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.25Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Hurkacz
Stat
Arnaldi
57.8%
Win rate
62.9%
78–57
W–L
122–72

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces10
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults4