Monte CarloClay1/16-finals8 Apr 2026 · 11:10
D. Medvedev
#10 · Russia
VS
M. Berrettini
#91 · Italy
MEDVEDEV
1.41
·
BERRETTINI
3.13

Odds

Market
Medvedev
Berrettini
Winner
1.41
3.13
Total
line 23.5
2.21
Over 23.5
1.7
Under 23.5
Total
line 21.5
1.73
Over 21.5
2
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
1.91
-3.0 games
1.79
+3 games
Handicap
games
1.8
-2.5 games
1.91
+2.5 games

Player analysis

D. Medvedev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.7, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.

DS -8.73Trend mixed

M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -24.2 to 49.3, with at least one match where M. Berrettini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 3.63Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Medvedev
Stat
Berrettini
57.4%
Win rate
68.5%
58–43
W–L
98–45

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Hard 10
D. Medvedev vs M. Berrettini head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP ATP CupHardMedvedev6-2 6-7 6-4