Monte CarloClay1/16-finals8 Apr 2026 · 11:10
D. Medvedev
ATP #8Russia
VS
M. Berrettini
ATP #105Italy
MEDVEDEV
1.43
·
BERRETTINI
2.96

Odds

Market
Medvedev
Berrettini
Winner
1.43
2.96
Total
line 17.5
1.12
Over 17.5
4.65
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.15
Over 18.0
4.3
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
10.7
-7.5 games
1.02
+7.5 games
Handicap
games
10.2
-7.0 games
1.02
+7 games

Player analysis

D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Medvedev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS -0.71Trend up

M. Berrettini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.2 to 13.1, with at least one match where M. Berrettini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.84Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Medvedev
Stat
Berrettini
57.4%
Win rate
66.9%
58–43
W–L
105–52

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults3

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
MedvedevBerrettini

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #8Medvedev vs BerrettiniATP #105

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Medvedev 57% (5843) · Berrettini 67% (10552)

Last match at Monte Carlo

No finished matches at Monte Carlo yet.

L9 Apr 2026 · ATP Monte Carlo - 1/8-finals
vs J. Fonseca · 3-6 2-6
1st serve45%1st won69.6%Aces2BP conv100%

Quick comparison

MedvedevStatBerrettini
57%Clay W%67%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)70%
30%BP conv (L5)40%
5Aces (L5 avg)6