Monte CarloClay1/16-finals8 Apr 2026 · 12:25
C. Garin
ATP #114Chile
VS
A. Zverev
ATP #3Germany
GARIN
6.98
·
ZVEREV
1.13

Odds

Market
Garin
Zverev
Winner
6.98
1.13
Total
line 15.5
1.02
Over 15.5
7.9
Under 15.5
Total
line 16.0
1.03
Over 16.0
7.4
Under 16.0
Handicap
games
4.8
-2.0 games
1.15
+2 games
Handicap
games
3.9
-2.5 games
1.22
+2.5 games

Player analysis

C. Garin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.1, meaning C. Garin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Garin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS -4.08Trend up

A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 56. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.2 to 22.1, with at least one match where A. Zverev was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (7.2/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 12.54Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Garin
Stat
Zverev
60%
Win rate
70.6%
263–175
W–L
199–83

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won70%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces7
Double faults2

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
GarinZverev

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #114Garin vs ZverevATP #3

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Garin 60% (263175) · Zverev 71% (19983)

Quick comparison

GarinStatZverev
60%Clay W%71%
60%1st serve % (L5)70%
70%1st serve won (L5)70%
40%BP conv (L5)50%
3Aces (L5 avg)7