Monte CarloClay1/8-finals9 Apr 2026 · 11:10
M. Berrettini
ATP #105Italy
VS
J. Fonseca
ATP #30Brazil
BERRETTINI
2.27
·
FONSECA
1.7

Odds

Market
Berrettini
Fonseca
Winner
2.27
1.7
Total
line 18.5
1.13
Over 18.5
4.5
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.15
Over 19.0
4.2
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
1.73
-2.5 games
2.01
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.83
-2.0 games
1.9
+2 games

Player analysis

M. Berrettini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.2 to 13.1, with at least one match where M. Berrettini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.84Trend mixed

J. Fonseca has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.7 with a downward trend. J. Fonseca is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 3.67Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Berrettini
Stat
Fonseca
66.9%
Win rate
60.9%
105–52
W–L
42–27

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults1

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
BerrettiniFonseca

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #105Berrettini vs FonsecaATP #30

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Berrettini 67% (10552) · Fonseca 61% (4227)

Last match at Monte Carlo

No finished matches at Monte Carlo yet.

L10 Apr 2026 · ATP Monte Carlo - Quarter-finals
vs A. Zverev · 5-7 7-6 3-6
1st serve65%1st won68.2%Aces4BP conv66.7%

Quick comparison

BerrettiniStatFonseca
67%Clay W%61%
60%1st serve % (L5)70%
70%1st serve won (L5)70%
40%BP conv (L5)50%
6Aces (L5 avg)6