M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -24.2 to 49.3, with at least one match where M. Berrettini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

J. Fonseca shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 38. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.5 to 24.2, with at least one match where J. Fonseca was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.