MiamiHard27 Mar 2026 · 22:00
A. Zverev
#4 · Germany
VS
J. Sinner
#2 · Italy
ZVEREV
6.72
·
SINNER
1.138

Odds

Market
Zverev
Sinner
Change
Winner
6.72
1.138
Total
line 21.5
1.91
Over 21.5
1.97
Under 21.5
Total
line 20.5
1.63
Over 20.5
2.14
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
2.35
+3.5 games
1.5
-3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.9
+4.5 games
1.96
-4.5 games

Player analysis

A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 62. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.5 to 27.3, with at least one match where A. Zverev was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (7.1/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Zverev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -30 over recent matches.

DS 11.19Trend mixed

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-35 opposition. Serve quality has been average (7.3/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.

DS 17.07Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Zverev
Stat
Sinner
66.9%
Win rate
80.5%
341–169
W–L
248–60

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted20%
Aces9
Double faults1
BP saved60%
1st serve %70%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
Aces11
Double faults1
BP saved80%

Head to head

46
Hard 23
Indoor 13
Clay 10
A. Zverev vs J. Sinner head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP Indian WellsHardIndian Wells - Semi-finalsSinner2-6 4-6
Finals - TurinIndoorSinner6-4 6-3
ParisIndoorSemi-finalsSinner0-6 1-6
ViennaIndoorFinalSinner3-6 6-3 7-5
Australian OpenHardFinalSinner6-3 7-6 6-3
ATP CincinnatiHardSemi-finalsSinner7-6 5-7 7-6
ATP US OpenHard1/8-finalsZverev6-4 3-6 6-2 4-6 6-3
Monte CarloClayQuarter-finalsZverev7-5 3-6 6-7
US OpenHard1/8-finalsZverev6-4 6-4 7-6
Cologne 2IndoorSemi-finalsZverev7-6 6-3