Odds
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-9 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.
Q. Zheng has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.9 to 13.8, with at least one match where Q. Zheng was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving Q. Zheng vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 8 Mar | Ruzic | 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 11 Feb | Zheng | 6-4 2-6 5-7 | W |
| 10 Feb | Parks | 6-7 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 9 Feb | Zheng | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | L |
| 27 Sep | Arango | 3-6 2-6 Ret. | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| French Open | Clay | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 7-6 6-3 | |
| Rome | Clay | Quarter-finals | Zheng | 4-6 3-6 | |
| Miami | Hard | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 6-2 7-5 | |
| WTA Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Sabalenka | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| WTA Wuhan | Hard | Final | Sabalenka | 6-3 5-7 6-3 | |
| WTA US Open | Hard | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 1-6 2-6 | |
| WTA Australian Open | Hard | Final | Sabalenka | 3-6 2-6 | |
| WTA US Open | Hard | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 1-6 4-6 |

