MadridClay1/16-finals26 Apr 2026 · 20:10
Q. Zheng
#36 · China
VS
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
ZHENG
4.52
·
RYBAKINA
1.245

Odds

Market
Zheng
Rybakina
Winner
4.52
1.245
Total
line 19.5
1.65
Over 19.5
2.1
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.5
1.95
Over 20.5
1.85
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.6
+5.5 games
2.2
-5.5 games
Handicap
games
2.41
+3.5 games
1.5
-3.5 games

Player analysis

Q. Zheng has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.9 to 16.8, with at least one match where Q. Zheng was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving Q. Zheng vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.47Trend up

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 36. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Rybakina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS 7.68Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Zheng
Stat
Rybakina
78.4%
Win rate
69.4%
91–25
W–L
75–33

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces9
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

14
Clay 01
Hard 02
Indoor 10
Grass 01
Q. Zheng vs E. Rybakina head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClayWTA 1/16-finalsRybakina6-4 4-6 3-6
WTA DohaHard1/8-finalsRybakina6-4 2-6 5-7
WTA Finals - RiyadhIndoorZheng6-7 6-3 1-6
WTA BeijingHard1/32-finalsRybakina1-6 2-6
WimbledonGrass1/16-finalsRybakina6-7 5-7