MadridClayWTA Quarter-finals28 Apr 2026 · 20:10
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
H. Baptiste
#32 · USA
SABALENKA
1.111
·
BAPTISTE
8.15

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Baptiste
Winner
1.111
8.15
Total
line 18.5
1.62
Over 18.5
2.27
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.5
1.98
Over 19.5
1.9
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
1.91
-5.5 games
1.97
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
2.53
-6.5 games
1.47
+6.5 games

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -0.5 to 17.5, with at least one match where A. Sabalenka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.03Trend mixed

H. Baptiste shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 67. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.

DS 6.53Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Baptiste
69.5%
Win rate
58.6%
91–40
W–L
65–46

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces9
Double faults6

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Hard 10
A. Sabalenka vs H. Baptiste head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MiamiHardWTA Quarter-finalsSabalenka6-4 6-4