Odds
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -0.5 to 17.5, with at least one match where A. Sabalenka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
H. Baptiste shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 67. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.
Recent form
5W 0L last 5
| 27 Apr | Osaka | 6-7 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 25 Apr | Cristian | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 23 Apr | Stearns | 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 28 Mar | Gauff | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | W |
| 27 Mar | Rybakina | 6-4 6-3 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 27 Apr | Bencic | 1-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 25 Apr | Paolini | 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 23 Apr | Quevedo | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 16 Apr | Shymanovich | 3-6 7-5 3-6 | L |
| 14 Apr | Ponchet | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

