J. Pegula has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -28.9 to 39.8, with at least one match where J. Pegula was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Pegula has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 56. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.