MiamiHard1/8-finals23 Mar 2026 · 22:15
J. Cristian
Romania
VS
J. Pegula
#5 · USA
CRISTIAN
7.5
·
PEGULA
1.12

Odds

Market
Cristian
Pegula
Winner
7.5
1.12
Total
line 14.5
1.02
Over 14.5
7.8
Under 14.5
Total
line 15.0
1.03
Over 15.0
7.3
Under 15.0
Handicap
games
6.23
-2.0 games
1.12
+2 games
Handicap
games
5.15
-2.5 games
1.16
+2.5 games

Player analysis

J. Cristian has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving J. Cristian vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 7.81Trend up

J. Pegula has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -28.9 to 39.8, with at least one match where J. Pegula was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Pegula has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS 9.29Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Cristian
Stat
Pegula
56.4%
Win rate
67.1%
22–17
W–L
306–150

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

01
Hard 01
J. Cristian vs J. Pegula head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Australian OpenHard1/64-finalsPegula6-1