D. Medvedev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.4, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Medvedev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.

C. Norrie has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.4, meaning C. Norrie has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Norrie vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.