Odds
Player analysis
C. Norrie has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.4, meaning C. Norrie has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Norrie vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
D. Medvedev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.4, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Medvedev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 28 Apr | Sinner | 6-2 7-5 | L |
| 26 Apr | Tirante | 7-5 7-6 | W |
| 24 Apr | Machac | 6-2 6-7 7-6 | W |
| 17 Apr | Jodar | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 15 Apr | Quinn | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 28 Apr | Cobolli | 3-6 7-5 4-6 | L |
| 27 Apr | Kjaer | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 25 Apr | Marozsan | 6-2 6-7 6-4 | W |
| 8 Apr | Berrettini | 0-6 0-6 | L |
| 23 Mar | Cerundolo | 6-0 4-6 7-5 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beijing | Hard | 1/16-finals | Medvedev | 6-3 6-4 | |
| French Open | Clay | 1/64-finals | Norrie | 5-7 3-6 6-4 6-1 5-7 | |
| Rome | Clay | 1/32-finals | Medvedev | 4-6 2-6 | |
| ATP Miami | Hard | 1/16-finals | Medvedev | 5-7 1-6 | |
| Los Cabos | Hard | Final | Medvedev | 7-5 | |
| Shanghai | Hard | 1/16-finals | Medvedev | 6-3 6-1 |

