MadridClay1/16-finals27 Apr 2026 · 15:40
D. Medvedev
#10 · Russia
VS
N. Budkov Kjaer
#140 · Norway
MEDVEDEV
1.33
·
KJAER
3.64

Odds

Market
Medvedev
Kjaer
Winner
1.33
3.64
Total
line 17.5
1.11
Over 17.5
4.9
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.13
Over 18.0
4.6
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
13
-8.5 games
1
+8.5 games
Handicap
games
13.5
-8.0 games
1
+8 games

Player analysis

D. Medvedev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.4, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Medvedev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.

DS -6.43Trend mixed

N. Budkov Kjaer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.4 to 37.5, with at least one match where N. Budkov Kjaer was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving N. Budkov Kjaer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 11.81Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Medvedev
Stat
Kjaer
57.4%
Win rate
62.7%
58–43
W–L
47–28

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults2