MiamiHard23 Mar 2026 · 16:00
F. Cerundolo
#19 · Argentina
VS
D. Medvedev
#10 · Russia

Odds

Market
Cerundolo
Medvedev
Change
Winner
Total
line 22.5
2.17
Over 22.5
1.61
Under 22.5
Total
line 21.5
1.98
Over 21.5
1.91
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
1.85
+4.5 games
2.04
-4.5 games
Handicap
games
2.26
+3.5 games
1.58
-3.5 games

Player analysis

F. Cerundolo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.8 to 27.8, with at least one match where F. Cerundolo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Cerundolo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Cerundolo has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.

DS 3.49Trend mixed

D. Medvedev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 46. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.7 to 18.5, with at least one match where D. Medvedev was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+51) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 9.34Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Cerundolo
Stat
Medvedev
52.6%
Win rate
72.6%
61–55
W–L
378–143

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved90%
Aces8
Double faults2