Odds
Player analysis
D. Shapovalov comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -13.7, meaning D. Shapovalov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving D. Shapovalov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+25) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
A. Kovacevic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.1, meaning A. Kovacevic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Kovacevic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 7 May | Navone | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 25 Apr | Kjaer | 6-2 6-1 | L |
| 17 Apr | Molcan | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 16 Apr | Marozsan | 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 14 Apr | Griekspoor | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 22 May | Buse | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 May | Carabelli | 6-4 6-7 6-2 | W |
| 20 May | Auger-Aliassime | 6-4 5-7 4-6 | W |
| 19 May | Gea | 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 17 May | Gea | 5-7 6-4 4-6 | L |
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | Indoor | 1/8-finals | Shapovalov | 6-4 6-4 | |
| Los Cabos | Hard | Final | Shapovalov | 4-6 2-6 |

