MadridClay1/32-finals25 Apr 2026 · 19:35
N. Budkov Kjaer
#140 · Norway
VS
D. Shapovalov
#35 · Canada
KJAER
2.15
·
SHAPOVALOV
1.769

Odds

Market
Kjaer
Shapovalov
Winner
2.15
1.769
Total
line 22.5
1.99
Over 22.5
1.88
Under 22.5
Total
line 21.5
1.7
Over 21.5
2.1
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
1.67
+3.5 games
2.1
-3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.8
+2.5 games
1.9
-2.5 games

Player analysis

N. Budkov Kjaer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.4 to 37.5, with at least one match where N. Budkov Kjaer was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving N. Budkov Kjaer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 11.81Trend down

D. Shapovalov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.9, meaning D. Shapovalov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Shapovalov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS -8.91Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Kjaer
Stat
Shapovalov
62.7%
Win rate
55%
47–28
W–L
61–50

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults6
BP converted50%