HamburgClayATP Final17 May 2026 · 15:40
A. Kovacevic
#67 · USA
VS
A. Gea
#135 · France
KOVACEVIC
1.99
·
GEA
1.847

Odds

Market
Kovacevic
Gea
Winner
1.99
1.847
Total
line 22.5
1.877
Over 22.5
1.943
Under 22.5
Total
line 23.0
1.98
Over 23.0
1.826
Under 23.0
Handicap
games
1.74
-2.5 games
2.24
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.6
-2.0 games
2.13
+2 games

Player analysis

A. Kovacevic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.1, meaning A. Kovacevic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Kovacevic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS -7.06Trend mixed

A. Gea comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.5, meaning A. Gea has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Gea vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Gea has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.

DS -5.48Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Kovacevic
Stat
Gea
34.7%
Win rate
50%
17–32
W–L
57–57

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults5

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

11
Clay 11
A. Kovacevic vs A. Gea head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
HamburgClayATP 1/16-finalsKovacevic6-2 7-6
HamburgClayATP FinalGea5-7 6-4 4-6