Odds
Player analysis
A. Kovacevic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.1, meaning A. Kovacevic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Kovacevic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
C. Ugo Carabelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 9.1, with at least one match where C. Ugo Carabelli was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 20 May | Auger-Aliassime | 6-4 5-7 4-6 | W |
| 19 May | Gea | 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 17 May | Gea | 5-7 6-4 4-6 | L |
| 16 May | Zhang | 6-7 7-5 6-2 | W |
| 14 May | Tabilo | 6-3 6-1 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 20 May | Tiafoe | 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 18 May | Majchrzak | 6-1 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 15 May | Kecmanovic | 1-6 1-6 | L |
| 14 May | Berrettini | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 6 May | Shevchenko | 3-6 6-4 6-7 | L |