Odds
Player analysis
A. Kovacevic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.1, meaning A. Kovacevic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Kovacevic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
I. Buse shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.9 to 27.3, with at least one match where I. Buse was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving I. Buse vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 21 May | Carabelli | 6-4 6-7 6-2 | W |
| 20 May | Auger-Aliassime | 6-4 5-7 4-6 | W |
| 19 May | Gea | 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 17 May | Gea | 5-7 6-4 4-6 | L |
| 16 May | Zhang | 6-7 7-5 6-2 | W |

