RomeClay1/16-finals10 May 2025 · 11:00
M. Keys
#18 · USA
VS
P. Stearns
#47 · USA
KEYS
1.48
·
STEARNS
2.54

Odds

Market
Keys
Stearns
Winner
1.48
2.54

Player analysis

M. Keys has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.4 to 13.5, with at least one match where M. Keys was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Keys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Keys has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS 3.13Trend up

P. Stearns shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 76. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.0 to 26.3, with at least one match where P. Stearns was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving P. Stearns vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.23Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

10 MarKartal6-2 2-6 3-6L
8 MarParry6-4 6-3W
26 JanPegula6-3 6-4L
24 JanPliskova3-6 3-6W
22 JanKrueger1-6 5-7W
Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

6 MarSierra5-7 5-7L
1 MarTownsend6-7 5-7W
28 FebSelekhmeteva1-6 7-5 5-7W
28 FebBirrell6-3 3-6 6-2W
26 FebJuvan0-6 2-6W

Clay court stats

Keys
Stat
Stearns
62.9%
Win rate
%
90–53
W–L

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults5