ParisClaySemi-finals16 May 2026 · 14:25
M. Keys
#19 · USA
VS
Y. Starodubtseva
#55 · Ukraine

Odds

Market
Keys
Starodubtseva
Winner
Total
line 20.5
1.93
Over 20.5
1.77
Under 20.5
Total
line 19.5
1.71
Over 19.5
1.97
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
1.85
-4.5 games
1.84
+4.5 games
Handicap
games
2.26
-5.5 games
1.55
+5.5 games

Player analysis

M. Keys arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 15.4Trend mixed

Y. Starodubtseva has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.5 to 19.3, with at least one match where Y. Starodubtseva was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving Y. Starodubtseva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.

DS 4.81Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Keys
Stat
Starodubtseva
62.9%
Win rate
52.6%
90–53
W–L
82–74

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces0
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

11
Clay 11
M. Keys vs Y. Starodubtseva head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ParisClaySemi-finalsKeys1-6 6-2 6-3
CharlestonClayWTA Semi-finalsStarodubtseva1-6 4-6