M. Sakkari comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.0, meaning M. Sakkari has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Sakkari vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

P. Stearns has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -23.7 to 25.5, with at least one match where P. Stearns was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Stearns vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.