RomeClay1/32-finals8 May 2026 · 13:40
M. Keys
#19 · USA
VS
P. Stearns
#78 · USA
KEYS
1.67
·
STEARNS
2.32

Odds

Market
Keys
Stearns
Winner
1.67
2.32
Total
line 18.5
1.31
Over 18.5
2.92
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.36
Over 19.0
2.75
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
4.57
-6.5 games
1.14
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
4.18
-6.0 games
1.17
+6 games

Player analysis

M. Keys arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 15.4Trend mixed

P. Stearns has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -23.7 to 25.5, with at least one match where P. Stearns was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Stearns vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.36Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Keys
Stat
Stearns
62.9%
Win rate
65.2%
90–53
W–L
43–23

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

01
Clay 01
M. Keys vs P. Stearns head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
RomeClay1/16-finalsStearns6-2 2-6 6-7