ParisClayQuarter-finals15 May 2026 · 15:40
M. Keys
#19 · USA
VS
A. Zakharova
#80 · Russia
KEYS
1.161
·
ZAKHAROVA
5.39

Odds

Market
Keys
Zakharova
Winner
1.161
5.39
Total
line 18.5
1.82
Over 18.5
1.93
Under 18.5
Total
line 17.5
1.57
Over 17.5
2.43
Under 17.5
Handicap
games
2.08
-6.5 games
1.7
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
1.99
-6.0 games
1.71
+6 games

Player analysis

M. Keys arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 15.4Trend mixed

A. Zakharova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.9, meaning A. Zakharova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving A. Zakharova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Zakharova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.

DS -5.9Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Keys
Stat
Zakharova
62.9%
Win rate
41%
90–53
W–L
25–36

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

20
Clay 10
Grass 10
M. Keys vs A. Zakharova head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ParisClayQuarter-finalsKeys6-4 6-1
LondonGrass1/8-finalsKeys3-6 2-6