V. Vacherot comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 30 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.3 to 11.6, with at least one match where V. Vacherot was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving V. Vacherot vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

H. Hurkacz comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.9, meaning H. Hurkacz has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving H. Hurkacz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.