MadridClay1/64-finals22 Apr 2026 · 17:15
J. Faria
#136 · Portugal
VS
H. Hurkacz
#63 · Poland
FARIA
3.1
·
HURKACZ
1.41

Odds

Market
Faria
Hurkacz
Winner
3.1
1.41
Total
line 19.5
1.21
Over 19.5
3.58
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.25
Over 20.0
3.34
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
2.44
-2.0 games
1.58
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.16
-2.5 games
1.76
+2.5 games

Player analysis

J. Faria has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.7, meaning J. Faria has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Faria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Faria has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.

DS -3.7Trend mixed

H. Hurkacz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.7 to 24.2, with at least one match where H. Hurkacz was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Hurkacz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS 10.85Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Faria
Stat
Hurkacz
51.8%
Win rate
56.8%
59–55
W–L
71–54

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults7
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces11
Double faults1