Odds
Player analysis
J. Faria has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.7, meaning J. Faria has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Faria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Faria has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.
H. Hurkacz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.7 to 24.2, with at least one match where H. Hurkacz was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Hurkacz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 20 Apr | Halys | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 17 Apr | Safiullin | 6-4 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 14 Apr | Ouden | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 29 Mar | Burruchaga | 7-6 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 28 Mar | Dellien | 6-4 6-1 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Apr | Vacherot | 6-7 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 8 Apr | Marozsan | 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Apr | Darderi | 7-6 5-7 6-1 | W |
| 19 Mar | Quinn | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 12 Mar | Bellucci | 2-6 4-6 | L |

