MadridClay1/32-finals24 Apr 2026 · 11:10
H. Hurkacz
#63 · Poland
VS
L. Musetti
#9 · Italy
HURKACZ
2.44
·
MUSETTI
1.61

Odds

Market
Hurkacz
Musetti
Winner
2.44
1.61
Total
line 18.5
1.27
Over 18.5
3.14
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.32
Over 19.0
2.92
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
1.9
-2.0 games
1.97
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.1
-2.5 games
1.66
+2.5 games

Player analysis

H. Hurkacz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.7 to 24.2, with at least one match where H. Hurkacz was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Hurkacz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS 10.85Trend mixed

L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning L. Musetti has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.86Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Hurkacz
Stat
Musetti
56.8%
Win rate
63.3%
71–54
W–L
136–79

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces11
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

21
Grass 20
Indoor 01
H. Hurkacz vs L. Musetti head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP WimbledonGrass1/16-finalsHurkacz6-7 4-6 4-6
RotterdamIndoor1/8-finalsMusetti3-6 7-5 3-6
WimbledonGrass1/64-finalsHurkacz6-4 7-6 6-1