H. Baptiste shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 106. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.

J. Ponchet comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.7, meaning J. Ponchet has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Ponchet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Ponchet has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.