Odds
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -0.5 to 17.5, with at least one match where A. Sabalenka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
P. Stearns comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 26.9, with at least one match where P. Stearns was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Stearns vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+29) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 28 Apr | Baptiste | 6-2 2-6 6-7 | L |
| 27 Apr | Osaka | 6-7 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 25 Apr | Cristian | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 23 Apr | Stearns | 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 28 Mar | Gauff | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 28 Apr | Zadoinov | 6-4 5-7 7-6 | L |
| 23 Apr | Sabalenka | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 21 Apr | Boisson | 6-1 6-3 | W |
| 2 Apr | Kessler | 0-6 6-3 4-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Krueger | 7-6 7-5 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.